More Political Uncertainties Affecting Europe’s Defense Build-up

Politics in Europe are growing increasingly unstable. The Starmer government in the United Kingdom (UK) is stalled and the German coalition of Gerhard Scholz dissolved, with elections coming. Under French President Emmanuel Macron, the government of Prime Minister Michel Barnier lasted barely three months, as it recently collapsed upon a no-confidence vote by a parliament where Macron lacks a majority.

In the UK, under Prime Minister Keir Starmer, gross domestic product (GDP) growth has stalled. PM Starmer committed to spending at least 2.5 percent of GDP on defense. However, funding has not materialized. A clear plan for future UK defense may not emerge until the Summer of 2025.



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