Details
Dr. Karber presents a summary review of the various weaponry in Russia’s tactical & theater nuclear arsenal, then moves to a summary of Russia’s recent ZAPAD-25 focused on forward deployment of Battlefield & Theater Nuclear Weapons in Belarus, and place the latest maneuvers in the context Russia’s evolving nuclear doctrine and nine previous ZAPADs: Four of which were under the Soviet Union, and, after a 15 year hiatus, the six brought back by under the tutelage of Vladimir Putin. The curious link between ZAPAD-25 and Russia’s employment of UAV’s over NATO territory will also be explored in terms of timing & message.
The seminar will conclude by highlighting some of the emerging challenges that Russia’s Tactical & Theater Nuclear posture poses to the survivability of NATO’s nuclear deterrent and strategic credibility with critique of politicians treating the concept of Deterrence like a simplistic “sound-byte.”
Speakers
Host of Huessy Seminars, Mr. Peter Huessy is President of his own defense consulting firm, Geostrategic Analysis, founded in 1981, and through 2021, Director of Strategic Deterrent Studies at the Mitchell Institute on Aerospace Studies. He was the senior defense consultant at the National Defense University Foundation for 22 years. He was the National Security Fellow at the AFPC, and Senior Defense Consultant at the Air Force Association from 2011-2016. Mr. Huessy has served as an expert defense and national security analyst for over 50 years, helping his clients cover congressional activities, arms control group efforts, nuclear armed states actions, and US administration nuclear related policy, budgets, and strategies, while monitoring budget and policy developments on nuclear deterrence, ICBM modernization, nuclear arms control, and overall nuclear modernization. He has also covered nuclear terrorism, counterterrorism, immigration, state-sponsored terrorism, missile defense, weapons of mass destruction, especially US-Israeli joint defense efforts, nuclear deterrence, arms control, proliferation, as well as tactical and strategic air, airlift, space and nuclear matters and such state and non-state actors as North Korea, China, Iran, Syria, Venezuela and Hezbollah, Hamas, and Al Qaeda. This also includes monitoring activities of think tanks, non-governmental organizations, and other US government departments, as well as projecting future actions of Congress in this area. His specialty is developing and implementing public policy campaigns to secure support for important national security objectives. And analyzing nuclear related technology and its impact on public policy, a study of which he prepared for the Aerospace Corporation in 2019.
Dr. Phillip Karber
Dr. Karber is Professor of Strategy & Praxis at the National Defense University where he teaches courses on “Military Strategy & Warfighting” and “Lessons Learned from the Russo-Ukraine War.” Karber is a graduate of Pepperdine University & received his PhD in International Law from Georgetown University with post-doc certificates from Harvard Kennedy School as well as Warton & Harvard Business Schools. Following service in the US Marine Corps, he was brought to Washington in 1968 by Admiral Arleigh Burke national security aide to the ranking Republican on the Congressional Joint Committee on Atomic Energy — specializing in Tactical & Theater nuclear weaponry. Subsequently, he served as Director of the NSC National Security Study Memorandum NSSM-Project 186 Net Assessment of the military balance in Europe. In 1981 Karber was appointed as “Strategy Advisor” to SECDEF & Chairman, JCS, where among other responsibilities he organized & ran the “Proud Prophet” exercise & test of NATO’s “Flexible Response Strategy” — with both Secretary Weinberger & Chairman Vessey directly participating in the simulation of a NATO/Warsaw Pact conflict that escalated from conventional to strategic war with Tactical Nuclear Weapons playing a pivial role. At the end of the Cold War, Karber ran the only DOD effort to interview the senior Soviet Military leadership on their perception of that strategic completion. Since 2013, Karber has made 45 trips as an observer of the Russo-Ukraine War, spending 199 days at the Front as an observer & reporting his observations to US & Allied Governments as well as preparing & presenting two major report to NATO on the full Russian invasion in 2022 & 2024.
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